LIU
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 89.3912Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Mount St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 85.5) 14-12 214 H Monmouth CAA ( 6- 7, 89.6) 9- 8 221 A Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.3) 12- 7 224 A Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.1) 5-13 301 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 15- 7 307 H Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 13- 9 314 H Wagner NEC ( 5- 8, 84.3) 20- 6 321 A Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 9- 5 328 A Detroit Mercy NEC ( 3-10, 85.7) 9- 7 404 H Mercyhurst NEC ( 2-12, 82.0) 25- 6 412 H VMI NEC ( 7- 7, 87.0) 8-10 418 A Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 10-14 425 H Cleveland State NEC ( 6- 8, 87.8) 12- 8 430 H Cleveland State NEC ( 6- 8, 87.8) 15-14 o 502 A Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 7- 8 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Mount St Marys 14-12 2 5 - -3.23
214 H Monmouth 9- 8 1 1 -0.15
221 A Iona 12- 7 5 4 1.24
224 A Rutgers 5-13 -8 -6 -0.89
301 A Bellarmine 15- 7 8 -1 +++ 7.85
307 H Queens 13- 9 4 5 -1.45
314 H Wagner 20- 6 14 7 0.49
321 A Le Moyne 9- 5 4 3 1.15
328 A Detroit Mercy 9- 7 2 2 -0.32
404 H Mercyhurst 25- 6 19 9 0.00
412 H VMI 8-10 -2 4 -- -5.76
418 A Robert Morris 10-14 -4 -3 -0.53
425 H Cleveland State 12- 8 4 3 1.06
430 H Cleveland State 15-14 o 1 3 -1.94
502 A Robert Morris 7- 8 o -1 -3 + 2.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H VMI 8-10 -2 4 -- -5.76 206 H Mount St Marys 14-12 2 5 - -3.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Bellarmine 15- 7 8 -1 +++ 7.85 502 A Robert Morris 7- 8 o -1 -3 + 2.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Mount St Marys ( 3-10, 85.5) 14-12 -14.36 6.24 -1.38 0.95 9.28
3 H Monmouth ( 6- 7, 89.6) 9- 8 -10.29 10.31 -1.38 0.95 17.06
3 A Iona ( 2-15, 84.3) 12- 7 -15.64 4.95 1.38 0.95 12.08
3 A Rutgers ( 8- 7, 94.1) 5-13 -5.77 14.82 1.38 0.95 -2.10
3 A Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 15- 7 -11.03 9.57 1.38 0.95 20.88
3 H Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 13- 9 -14.59 6.01 -1.38 0.95 8.85
3 H Wagner ( 5- 8, 84.3) 20- 6 -15.64 4.95 -1.38 0.95 6.83
3 A Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 9- 5 -14.73 5.87 1.38 0.95 13.82
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 3-10, 85.7) 9- 7 -14.20 6.40 1.38 0.95 14.83
3 H Mercyhurst ( 2-12, 82.0) 25- 6 -17.91 2.69 -1.38 0.95 2.51
3 H VMI ( 7- 7, 87.0) 8-10 -12.89 7.71 -1.38 0.95 -6.81
3 A Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 10-14 -8.42 12.18 1.38 0.95 -3.36
3 H Cleveland Stat ( 6- 8, 87.8) 12- 8 -12.07 8.53 -1.38 0.95 13.65
3 H Cleveland Stat ( 6- 8, 87.8) 15-14 -12.07 8.53 -1.38 0.95 13.65
3 A Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 7- 8 -8.42 12.18 1.38 0.95 -3.36
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117.80
|
winning pts = 133.4259 losing points = -15.6225
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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